Chart review September 28 2025

XAGUSD H4 – Steep Rally

Another week, another all time high for the XAGUSD. The price is within touching distance of the adjusted upper daily bullish channel. While the overall bias is still bullish, the silver has rallied so steeply. It’s not going to be sustainable. Here’s the full breakdown:

πŸ“ŠΒ Market Structure: HH/HL β†’ Bullish
πŸ“ˆΒ EMA Check (H4): Price closes above 50 & 200 EMA
πŸ”‘Β Support & Resistance: Support = 44.5 / Resistance = 47 (Upper bullish channel)
πŸ“Β Trendline: Uptrend line intact
πŸ“Β Channel: Bullish channel still in play

βœ…Β Bias: Bullish
🎯 Setup Watch: Observe for rotation lower

EURUSD H4 – Support Turned Resistance?

The EURUSD rotated lower. It broke the previous support zone (which now becomes a resistant zone) and also the lower daily bullish channel. If there is a sell signal, it could be a quick trade, as the overall bias for USD is still bearish. Here’s the full breakdown:

πŸ“Š Market Structure: HH/HL β†’ Bearish to Neutral.
πŸ“ˆ EMA Check (H4): Price closes below 200 EMA.
πŸ”‘ Support & Resistance: Support = 1.158 / Resistance = 1.17 ~ 1.174
πŸ“ Trendline: Lower daily bullish channel is broken

βœ…Β Bias: Bearish to Neutral
🎯 Setup Watch: Sell around 1.17 ~ 1.174 β†’ TP 1.158

XAUUSD H4 – Still Bullish?

After a month of rally, is now the time for the bull to rest? The price has now been pushed to the adjusted upper daily bullish channel. Here’s the full breakdown:

πŸ“Š Market Structure: HH/HL β†’ Potentially sideway at the moment
πŸ“ˆ EMA Check (H4): Price is far above 50 EMA
πŸ”‘ Support & Resistance: Support = 3,716 / Resistance = 3,800
πŸ“ Trendline: Uptrend line intact
πŸ“ Channel: Bullish channel still in play

βœ…Β Bias: Bullish
🎯 Setup Watch: Wait for rotation lower to enter

GBPUSD H4 – Distribution?

The pair is now closed below and cleared the 200 EMA in H4. It’s a sign of weakness. 2 aggressive sell zones emerge. Here’s the full breakdown:

πŸ“Š Market Structure: LL/LH β†’ Bearish to Neutral. Bearish if 1.33 can be taken out.
πŸ“ˆ EMA Check (H4): Price below 200 EMA
πŸ”‘ Support & Resistance: Support = 1.335 / Resistance = 1.34 ~ 1.345

βœ…Β Bias: More to bearish
🎯 Setup Watch:
1) Sell aggressively at the 2 sell zones
2) Wait for clean breakout below 1.33 β†’ TP 1.32